Research

All research publications of the Fuels Institute will represent the work product of the Fuels Institute alone, and will not be presented as reflecting the individual positions of any member of the Board of Advisors, the associated Task Group, or any organization helping to fund the research.
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2017 Case Competition: Introducing a New Transportation Energy System

Fuels Institute's 2017 Case Competition submissions of the winning team, two semi-finalists, and two honorable mentions.

Date: August 11, 2017 PDF: 8.46 MB
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Tomorrow's Vehicles

Date: June 17, 2017 PDF: 376 KB

"Tomorrow's Vehicles" is a series of three reports forecasting the market shares of the vehicles expected to be sold and driven in the United States and Canada through the year 2025, the current target date of federal fuel efficiency standards. Utilizing current market conditions and trends, the reports forecast sales and registrations of light and medium/heavy duty vehicles, broken down by powertrain, and each market segment's relative fuel consumption through 2025. As performance and efficiency regulations become increasingly stringent, it is vital to shed some light on the potential impact on the vehicles and fuel industries - "Tomorrow's Vehicles" offers reliable projections of the type and pace of expected change to these industries over the next several years.

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New Technology Adoption Curves - A Case Study on Delivering E25-Capable Vehicles to Market

Our latest report - a case study exploring the time it would take a new technology to reach 20% vehicle market share (the percentage of market penetration we believe sufficient to satisfy consumer demand). The case study evaluates how many vehicles equipped to operate on E25 must be sold each year to achieve a 20% share of vehicles on the road by a certain moment in time. The case study serves as an example of what will be required to achieve significant market penetration for any new technology.

Date: June 13, 2017 PDF: 856 KB
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Urbanization - The Effect of Urban Development on U.S. Vehicle Travel And Fuel Demand

An evaluation of more than 100 years of urban development in the U.S. from the perspective of individual mobility.

Date: May 22, 2017 PDF: 411 KB
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Retailing E85: An Analysis of Market Performance, July 2014-August 2015

Analysis of the E85 retail market over a 13-month period from 620 E85 retail locations.

Date: March 23, 2017 PDF: 11.5 MB
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Assessment of the U.S. Fuel Distribution Network

An overview of the U.S. liquid fuels distribution system, evaluating the operations of each component of the value chain and assessing the complexities associated with delivering fuel to consumers.

Date: December 8, 2016 PDF: 9.05 MB
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2016 Fuels Institute Case Competition - Future of Transportation

University case competition featuring the complete submissions by students from UC Berkeley, Duke, Morgan State, Clemson and University of Colorado at Boulder.

Date: June 19, 2016 PDF: 7.83 MB
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Shared Travel: Revolution or Evolution?

An In-Depth Fleet Analysis of Shared Urban Mobility.

Date: April 18, 2016 PDF: 4.87 MB
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GHG Emissions from Light Duty Vehicles Powered by Natural Gas

A new paper written by Carnegie Mellon University examines the environmental benefits of light-duty vehicles using natural gas as a transportation fuel.

Date: October, 2015 PDF: 4.93 MB
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GHG Emissions from Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicles Powered by Natural Gas

A new paper written by Carnegie Mellon University examines the environmental benefits of medium and heavy-duty vehicles using natural gas as a transportation fuel.

Date: August, 2015 PDF: 10.0 MB
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Fuel Prices and Auto Sales

A new study examines the widespread notion that retail fuel prices have a direct correlation on consumer vehicle purchasing behavior. By analyzing the relationship between vehicle sales and retail fuel prices over the past five years, we aim to better understand how consumers are making their decisions.

Date: July, 2015 PDF: 260 KB
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2015 University Case Competition

First-ever student case competition featuring the complete submissions by students from the University of Wisconsin, Northwestern University and University of Texas at Dallas.

Date: July, 2015 PDF: 2.17 MB
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Driver Demographics – The American Population’s Effect on Vehicle Travel and Fuel Demand

An analysis of the historic growth and stabilization of vehicle-miles traveled, through a demographic examination of drivers and driver behavior.

Date: December, 2014 PDF: 7.46 MB
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E85 - A Market Performance Analysis and Forecast

E85 is subject to the fuel specification standard used by ASTM which applies to fuel blends that contain 51% - 83% ethanol. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) uses an average ethanol concentration of 74% for its evaluations.

Date: November, 2014 PDF: 3.04 MB
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Consumers and Diesel: Potential Conflict Between Fuel Economy and Cost

A new consumer study examines consumer preferences toward diesel fuel and finds that while all consumers seek economic benefits, different consumer segments value different economic factors, and that these different needs all must be addressed in communicating diesel fuel's cost benefits.

Date: October, 2014 PDF: 210.65 KB
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An Assessment of the Diesel Fuel Market: Demand, Supply, Trade and Key Drivers

Developed by the PIRA Energy Group, this report was commissioned by the Fuels Institute to analyze domestic diesel fuel demand, production capacity, international demand and trade balances, as well as the various programs and requirements that might affect overall diesel demand.

Date: October, 2014 PDF: 2.36 MB
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Consumers and Alternative Fuels: Economics Are Top of Mind

An analysis of what consumer are looking for when purchasing a vehicle and how they feel about alternative powertrains and fuels.

Date: June, 2014 PDF: 220 KB
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Tomorrow's Vehicles? What will we drive in 2023?

Innovation in the vehicles market is moving forward at a very rapid pace, but is that pace fundamentally changing the future composition of the fuels market? According to market forecasts completed for the Fuels Institute by Navigant Research, the answer is “yes,” but only to a limited degree. Within the next 10 years, alternative fuel drivetrains will gain market share. However, traditional petroleum-powered internal combustion engines will continue to dominate.

Date: November, 2013 PDF: 3.29 MB